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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 12/22/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Phoenix Suns

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 29.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 29.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Relative to last year's 18.7 rate, De'Aaron Fox's shots have surged this year to 21.8 per game.

De'Aaron Fox has averaged 34.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 95th percentile.

The 7th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league this year has been the Kings.

Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Sacramento Kings grade out 9thbest in in the league as the home team with 10.7 offensive boards per game over the last 14 games.

De'Aaron Fox has converted a terrific 5.9 foul shots per game this season, significantly higher than his 4.7 mark last season.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

De'Aaron Fox has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the NBA (89th percentile).

This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have notched 12.2 points per game (15th-fewest in the league) vs. the Suns, branding this as a tough matchup for offensive effectiveness.

The Suns have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the league on the road this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Sacramento Kings.

This year when they are at home, opposing squads have snagged 13.5 offensive boards per game (highest in the league) against the Suns (lengthening possessions that can create further opportunities for offense).

The matchup against Phoenix is a hard one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a measly 2.1 free throws per game this year when the Phoenix Suns are on the road (14th-least in the NBA).

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