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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 4/15/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-123/-104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -123.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

De'Aaron Fox has scored 25.0 points per game this year, placing him among the best players in the league by this standard: 96th percentile.

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 7.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.9 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

De'Aaron Fox has averaged 32.7 minutes per game while at home this year, putting him in the 87th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.

The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The matchup against Golden State is a strong one for three-pointers; when the Warriors are on the road, opposing starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest three percentage in the NBA this year (43.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Sacramento Kings have been the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Warriors have given up the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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