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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 3/31/2023

Portland Trail Blazers vs Sacramento Kings

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (+100/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -111 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

De'Aaron Fox has sunk 2.8 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games on the road, 0.9 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season without the home court advantage.

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 33.2 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA: 90th percentile.

The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games on the road.

The Trail Blazers have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Kings.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

De'Aaron Fox has accumulated 2.5 personal fouls per game on the road this year, putting him in the 81st percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The matchup against the Trail Blazers is a tough one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PGs have totaled the 15th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.9).

The Sacramento Kings check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).

While at home, the Trail Blazers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

De'Aaron Fox will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally worsens player production in all facets of the game.

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