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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 3/21/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Boston Celtics

 
 
 
De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 26.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 26.5 @ -115.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • De'Aaron Fox has scored 29.5 points per game over the last 15 games, 4.1 more than he's scored overall this season.
  • De'Aaron Fox has sunk 3.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's converted from three in all games this year.
  • De'Aaron Fox has played 33.0 minutes per game while on his home court this year, putting him in the 88th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the league.
  • The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league at home this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup against Boston is a challenging one for scoring; when the Celtics are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have posted the 15th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (39.7%).
  • The Celtics have played at the 5th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings check in as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Boston is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PGs have attempted just 3.5 foul shots per game this year when the Celtics are on the road (9th-least in the NBA).

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