De'Aaron Fox Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2023

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs LA Clippers · Mar 3, 2023

Updated Mar 4, 2023 3:11 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 24.2 shots per game over the last 5 games, 5.7 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
De'Aaron Fox has attempted 8.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 3.8 more than he's attempted overall this year.
De'Aaron Fox has been on the court for 33.9 minutes per game while at home this year, ranking him in the 92nd percentile -- ranking among the most used players in the NBA.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a strong one; when the Clippers are away from home, they have allowed the 30th-most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (19.7).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games at home.

Favors Under

The Clippers have played at the 9th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games away from their home court, which should reduce plays for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Clippers have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.1) in the NBA to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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