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De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox Points
Player Prop - 2/10/2023

Sacramento Kings vs Dallas Mavericks

 
 
 
De'Aaron Fox Points Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 25.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 25.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • De'Aaron Fox has attempted 21.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 3.7 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
  • De'Aaron Fox has averaged 32.6 minutes per game while on his home court this year, placing him in the 86th percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
  • The Sacramento Kings check in as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
  • The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league over the last 25 games while at home.
  • De'Aaron Fox has attempted 7.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 more than he's attempted in all games this season.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The matchup vs. Josh Green is a hard one; he has allowed a mere 14.6 points per game when squaring off against fellow starting PGs this year (3rd percentile).
  • The Mavericks have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA away from their home stadium this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Kings.
  • The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • The matchup against Josh Green is a challenging one for drawing fouls; when Green is away from his home court and defending fellow starting PGs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.2 foul shots per game (3rd percentile).

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