De'Aaron Fox Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Made 3 Point Shots

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 11:26 PM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has attempted 5.4 3-point shots per game this year, significantly higher than his 4.2 mark last year.
Relative to his full-season rate of core.FORMAT(RATE2,1) minutes per home game, De'Aaron Fox's rate of playing time has jumped by core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) minutes over the last 5 games at home.
This year when they are on their home court, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 2.3 3-pointers per game (26th-most in the NBA) against the Utah Jazz, creating a good matchup.
The 6th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Jazz have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Kings.

Favors Under

De'Aaron Fox has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, core.FORMAT(ABS(DIFF_RATE),1) higher than he's tallied overall this season.
This year, opposing squads have collected 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Jazz (continuing possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).
De'Aaron Fox will likely experience a decrease in performance in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this matchup.

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