De'Aaron Fox Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/12/2025

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · San Antonio Spurs

Assists

San Antonio Spurs vs Dallas Mavericks · Mar 12, 2025

Updated Mar 13, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-162/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -143 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has compiled 6.3 assists per game this year, putting him among the best players in the league by this metric: 97th percentile.
Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox comes in at the 89th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 33.0 minutes per game while playing at home this year.
The 8th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the San Antonio Spurs.
The San Antonio Spurs are expected to see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 6th-quickest pace away team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Dallas Mavericks).
De'Aaron Fox will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually raises stat production across the board.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox slots into the 89th percentile for personal fouls, putting up a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The San Antonio Spurs rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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