De'Aaron Fox Assists - Player Prop Bet 1/16/2025

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De'Aaron Fox

NBA · Player Props

De'Aaron Fox

G · Sacramento Kings

Assists

Sacramento Kings vs Houston Rockets · Jan 16, 2025

Updated Jan 17, 2025 4:59 AM EST

Analysis

De'Aaron Fox Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

De'Aaron Fox has compiled 6.1 assists per game this year at home, placing him among the league leaders by this standard recently: 95th percentile.
Among all players in the league, De'Aaron Fox rates in the 99th percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 37.2 minutes per game this year.
The Kings have played at the 9th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court.
The Kings check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).
De'Aaron Fox will have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage tends to improve stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, De'Aaron Fox lands in the 93rd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.7 fouls per game this year.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from facing the 6th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the Rockets).

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