Davion Mitchell Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2023

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Sacramento Kings · Apr 23, 2023

Updated Apr 23, 2023 5:06 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-115/-112).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 15 games without the home court advantage.
The Warriors have played at the fastest pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Kings.

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has put up 0.2 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this metric: 8th percentile.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.0) in the league to opposing squads over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Davion Mitchell will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lowers player production in all stat categories.

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