Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/30/2026

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Philadelphia 76ers · Mar 30, 2026

Updated Mar 30, 2026 10:58 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-121/-111).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -124 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against Philadelphia is a positive one for threes; when the 76ers are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have shot for the 7th-highest three percentage in the league this year (39.9%).
The Miami Heat have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
The Miami Heat will likely get a boost in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 4th-speediest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the 76ers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 7th-best in in the NBA on their home court with 12.6 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.
This year when they are on their home court, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 4.9 free throws per game (8th-highest in the league) vs. the Philadelphia 76ers, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

When it comes to three-pointers, the Heat's feeble 31.7% rate of converted threes on their home court measures as the worst in the league over the last 5 games.

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