Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/25/2026

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Miami Heat · Mar 25, 2026

Updated Mar 25, 2026 11:37 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-118/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -101 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PGs have shot 41.4% on threes (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Cavaliers, creating a good matchup.
The most up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and spark bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 2nd-best in in the NBA away from their home court with 14.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

The Heat rank as the least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Heat will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions in this game from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo home offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Cleveland Cavaliers).
Over the last 15 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 2.5 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Cavaliers, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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