Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2026

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs San Antonio Spurs · Mar 23, 2026

Updated Mar 23, 2026 10:43 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-127/-107).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -121 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against San Antonio is a strong one for threes; when the San Antonio Spurs are the visiting team, the opposing team's starting PGs have compiled the highest 3-point percentage in the NBA this year (48.4%).
The speediest pace team in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Heat will likely see a spike in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 10th-quickest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 20 games (the Spurs).
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Miami Heat rank 6th-best in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 20 games.
Over the last 10 games, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.4 foul shots per game (10th-highest in the NBA) against the San Antonio Spurs, succeeding in their efforts to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The Miami Heat have been the 2nd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games.

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