Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/21/2026

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Houston Rockets vs Miami Heat · Mar 21, 2026

Updated Mar 21, 2026 11:48 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-138/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -138.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Heat rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.5 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

The Heat rank as the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against Houston is a challenging one; when the Houston Rockets are at home, they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs over the last 10 games (12.8).
The Heat are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from being pitted against the 2nd-most lethargic tempo offense in the league this year (the Houston Rockets).
The matchup vs. Houston may be a challenging one for drawing fouls; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted just 1.7 foul shots per game over the last 10 games when the Houston Rockets are on their home court (least in the NBA).

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