Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2026

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Feb 11, 2026

Updated Feb 12, 2026 12:38 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have averaged 7.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the New Orleans Pelicans, resulting in a good matchup.
The Heat have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA this year.
The Heat will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-speediest tempo home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the New Orleans Pelicans).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and create added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out best in in the NBA when playing on the road with 17.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a positive one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted an enormous 4.1 foul shots per game this year (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Miami Heat rank as the 8th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 10 games.

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