Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/10/2026

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Miami Heat · Jan 10, 2026

Updated Jan 10, 2026 11:59 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -118 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Heat have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.
The Miami Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from sharing the court with the 2nd-fastest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Indiana Pacers).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about added chances for scoring and assists, and the Heat grade out 5th-best in in the league with 13.3 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
The matchup vs. Indiana may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.4 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Indiana Pacers are on their home court (7th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In terms of offense, the Heat's lackluster 42.5% field goal percentage while on the road places fewest in the league over the last 5 games.
This year, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 4.6 3-point attempts per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Indiana Pacers, marking this as a tough matchup.

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