Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/4/2026

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 4, 2026

Updated Jan 5, 2026 2:14 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The matchup against the Pelicans is a positive one for shots from behind the three-point arc; the other team's starting PGs have tallied the 3rd-most three attempts per game in the league this year (7.1).
The Heat have played at the quickest pace in the league this year.
The Heat will likely see an increase in possessions today from being pitted against the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Pelicans).
The Miami Heat have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup against the New Orleans Pelicans is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a monstrous 4.1 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

With respect to shot attempts from downtown, the 7th-least aggressive team in the league over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat.

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