Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/28/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Cleveland Cavaliers · Apr 28, 2025

Updated Apr 28, 2025 11:33 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 69.3% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 22.9% more than he's sunk in all games this season.
Davion Mitchell has converted 72.2% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 28.3% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
Davion Mitchell has played 36.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.1 more than he's played in all games this year.
In terms of scoring, the Heat's terrific 114.5 points per game places 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Davion Mitchell has attempted 2.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Cavaliers is a tough one; they have allowed the least points per game in the NBA to the other team's starting SGs this year (12.1).
The 2nd-most sluggish tempo home offense in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 10th-most sluggish tempo team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Cavaliers).
The Heat check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the home team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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