Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/27/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Mar 27, 2025

Updated Mar 28, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has made 63.5% of his field goals over the last 5 games at home, 8.9% higher than he's put through the net in all games this year with the home court advantage.
In comparison to last year's 30.5% rate, Davion Mitchell's three-point efficiency has risen this year to 41.5%.
Davion Mitchell has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year.
As it relates to three-pointers, the Heat's excellent 44.1% rate of made threes with the home court advantage ranks best in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the fastest tempo in the league over the last 25 games, which ought to boost possessions for the Heat.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Davion Mitchell measures in the 88th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a whopping 2.5 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The slowest pace home team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Miami Heat check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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