Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell ranks in the 81st percentile for field goal performance when playing at home with a great 52.6% rate this year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell lands in the 94th percentile for 3-point proficiency with a remarkable 42.2% rate this year.
The Miami Heat have been the 7th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 25 games with the home court advantage.
Davion Mitchell has attempted 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted in all games this year.
Davion Mitchell will likely see an increase in efficiency across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.2 fouls per game last season.
This year, the opposition's starting PGs have averaged 11.3 field goal attempts per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Charlotte Hornets, creating a difficult matchup.
The most lethargic pace home team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Hornets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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