Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

New York Knicks vs Miami Heat · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 56.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games on the road, 15.2% more than he's made from three in all games this season away from home.
Davion Mitchell has been on the court for 31.0 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 4.9 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this year.
In regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc, the 8th-most aggressive team in the league while playing on the road over the last 20 games has been the Miami Heat.
The New York Knicks have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games in their home city, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Miami Heat.
Davion Mitchell has successfully made 91.7% of his foul shot attempts over the last 15 games on the road, 21.7% higher than he's converted overall this season while playing on the road.

Favors Under

In comparison to last season's 1.2 mark, Davion Mitchell's personal fouls per game have risen this season to 2.5.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate added chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat rank 2ndworst in in the league with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Davion Mitchell stands to experience a decrease in performance for all stats considering being on the road in this game.

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