Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/15/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Miami Heat · Mar 15, 2025

Updated Mar 15, 2025 11:34 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+106/-136).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +108 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has converted 55.8% of his field goals over the last 15 games on the road, 14.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year while playing on the road.
Davion Mitchell has sunk 52.8% of his 3-pointers over the last 15 games, 9.7% higher than he's made from three over the course of the season.
Davion Mitchell has tallied 31.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 5.6 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
The Miami Heat check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 20 games away from their home court with respect to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Heat are expected to see a rise in possessions in this contest from competing against the quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Grizzlies).

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, a sizeable increase from his 1.2 fouls per game last season.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year.
The Heat have been the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Davion Mitchell will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on the road generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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