Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 10, 2025

Updated Mar 11, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has sunk 54.6% of his field goals over the last 15 games, 11.6% higher than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Davion Mitchell has sunk 55.6% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 13.4% more than he's converted overall this season.
Davion Mitchell has played 35.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 5.4 more than he's played overall this year at home.
With respect to threes, the Miami Heat's excellent 13.9 drained threes per game rates 9th-highest in the league this year.
The Hornets have played at the 6th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost opportunities for the Miami Heat.

Favors Under

Relative to last year's 1.2 mark, Davion Mitchell's personal fouls per game have jumped this year to 2.5.
The matchup vs. the Charlotte Hornets is a difficult one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PGs have totaled the least field goal attempts per game in the NBA this year (11.3).
The least up-tempo tempo home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 2.9 free throws per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Hornets, finding it difficult to draw fouls.

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