Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers · Feb 28, 2025

Updated Mar 1, 2025 3:34 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has made 58.7% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 16.0% higher than he's converted overall this season.
Davion Mitchell has made 55.8% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games, 15.0% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.
Davion Mitchell has averaged 33.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.8 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.
The Heat have been the 5th-most efficient 3-point shooting team in the league at home this year.
The Heat will likely see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 5th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Indiana Pacers).

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell registers in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, totaling an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.
This year, opposing starting PGs have tallied 4.6 3-point attempts per game (lowest in the NBA) vs. the Pacers, resulting in a difficult matchup.
The Miami Heat have played at the slowest pace in the NBA as the home team this year.
The Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Pacers may be a difficult one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted just 3.5 free throws per game over the last 20 games (5th-least in the NBA).

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