Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Miami Heat vs Atlanta Hawks · Feb 26, 2025

Updated Feb 27, 2025 4:04 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 53.4% of his field goal attempts over the last 15 games, 11.7% more than he's put through the hoop overall this season.
Davion Mitchell has successfully made 49.4% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 15 games, 9.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Davion Mitchell has played 33.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.7 higher than he's played over the course of the year.
With respect to three-point attempts, the 8th-most aggressive team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Heat.
The matchup against the Atlanta Hawks is a favorable one for three-point shots; the opposition's starting PGs have averaged the 5th-most 3-pointers per game in the NBA this year (2.8).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell measures in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.6 offensive rebounds per game this year.
The matchup against the Hawks may be a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; the other team's starting PGs have attempted a measly 3.3 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (3rd-least in the NBA).

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