Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Points

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Feb 13, 2025

Updated Feb 14, 2025 1:28 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has converted 55.4% of his three-point attempts over the last 10 games on the road, 16.2% higher than he's sunk over the course of the season away from home.
In regard to shots from downtown, the Heat's outstanding 14.0 drained threes per game while on the road comes in as the 7th-highest in the NBA this year.
Davion Mitchell has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.6% more than he's converted in all games this year.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 1.2 mark, Davion Mitchell's personal fouls per game have surged this season to 2.6.
The matchup against Dallas is a tough one for three-point attempts; when the Mavericks are at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied the 4th-least 3-point attempts per game in the league this year (4.6).
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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