Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/5/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Memphis Grizzlies · Feb 5, 2025

Updated Feb 6, 2025 3:29 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has made 55.0% of his three-pointers over the last 10 games at home, 15.6% more than he's made over the course of the year with the home court advantage.
The 6th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the speediest pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Grizzlies).
The Toronto Raptors have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 25 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to new chances for scoring and assists).
Davion Mitchell has converted 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 32.4% more than he's made in all games this year.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Davion Mitchell comes in at the 92nd percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 2.6 fouls per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 6th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 15 games while at home.
The matchup vs. Memphis is a hard one; when the Grizzlies are away from home, they have given up the 8th-least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PGs this year (17.0).

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