Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs New Orleans Pelicans · Jan 27, 2025

Updated Jan 28, 2025 2:30 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-121/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -121.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 52.8% of his field goals over the last 5 games, 14.1% more than he's converted over the course of the year.
Davion Mitchell has successfully made 57.6% of his shots from downtown over the last 15 games, 20.3% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the season.
This year, opposing starting PGs have totaled 7.1 3-point attempts per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Pelicans, resulting in a good matchup.
The Raptors will likely get a boost in plays today from sharing the court with the 4th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Pelicans).
The Raptors have been the 8th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-whistled players in the league (92nd percentile).
With respect to shooting, the Toronto Raptors's subpar 104.8 points per game while at home settles in as the 3rd-weakest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The most lethargic pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.

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