Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 12/7/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Dallas Mavericks · Dec 7, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -129 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to see a spike in plays today from facing the 5th-speediest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Mavericks).
The Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Davion Mitchell stands to see a spike in output across the board due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

In contrast to last season's 40.8% clip, Davion Mitchell's scoring proficiency has fallen this season to 33.8%.
Out of all players in the league, Davion Mitchell comes in at the 24th percentile for 3-point efficiency while playing at home with a lackluster 25.3% rate this year.
Davion Mitchell has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the league (92nd percentile).
The Raptors check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA with the home court advantage this year with respect to shot attempts from beyond the arc.

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