Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/12/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 12, 2024

Updated Nov 13, 2024 1:34 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

This year, opposing starting PGs have averaged 21.7 points per game (highest in the NBA) against the Bucks, designating this as a positive matchup for offensive performance.
The Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and result in further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.
This year when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted 4.6 foul shots per game (5th-most in the league) against the Bucks, easily managing to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 39.4% of his field goal attempts this year, putting him in the 22nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Davion Mitchell has made 19.2% of his three-pointers away from home this year, placing him in the 17th percentile among all players in the league.
Out of all players in the league, Davion Mitchell places in the 81st percentile for personal fouls, registering a whopping 2.7 fouls per game away from home this year.
The Raptors check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.
The Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

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