Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/2/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 2, 2024

Updated Nov 3, 2024 1:19 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-112/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -112.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raptors are expected to see an increase in possessions today from facing the 8th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 3rd-best in in the NBA with 15.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Davion Mitchell stands to get a boost in productivity in all facets of the game due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell places in the 25th percentile for scoring proficiency with a weak 40.8% rate since the start of last season.
Davion Mitchell has been called for 3.3 personal fouls per game on his home court this year, putting him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's most foul-prone.
The Raptors check in as the 5th-least aggressive offense in the league with the home court advantage this year with respect to 3-point attempts.
This year when they are on their home court, opposing starting PGs have tallied 15.2 points per game (3rd-lowest in the league) against the Sacramento Kings, resulting in a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The matchup vs. Sacramento is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a mere 3.3 foul shots per game this year when the Sacramento Kings are the visiting squad (8th-least in the league).

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