Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/1/2024

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Los Angeles Lakers · Nov 1, 2024

Updated Nov 1, 2024 11:39 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -105 before it was bet up to 10.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Raptors have played at the 8th-speediest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 10th-fastest pace in the league this year, which should lead to more plays for the Raptors.
The Raptors check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to added chances for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. Los Angeles may be a good one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PGs have attempted a colossal 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games when the Lakers are the visiting squad (4th-most in the NBA).
Davion Mitchell is expected to see an increase in output in all stat categories as a result of having the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has sunk 40.7% of his field goals since the start of last season, putting him in the 24th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Out of all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell lands in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 2.3 fouls per game at home since the start of last season.
In terms of 3-pointers, the Toronto Raptors's poor 10.5 converted threes per game with the home court advantage settles in as the lowest in the NBA since the start of last season.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Lakers are on the road, opposing starting PGs have averaged the 5th-least three attempts per game in the league this year (5.3).
Out of all players in the league, Davion Mitchell slots into the 18th percentile for getting to the charity stripe, putting up a lowly 0.6 foul shot attempts per game since the start of last season.