Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 10/28/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Denver Nuggets · Oct 28, 2024

Updated Oct 29, 2024 12:00 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-111/-123).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -123.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The 10th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors rank 7th-best in in the league playing at home with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
The matchup against the Nuggets may be a good one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PGs have attempted a colossal 5.6 free throws per game over the last 5 games (4th-most in the NBA).
Davion Mitchell figures to see a spike in effectiveness for all stats as a result of holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has made 40.5% of his field goals since the start of last season, ranking him in the 23rd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Raptors rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league on their home court since the start of last season.
The matchup vs. Denver is a hard one for shots from behind the three-point arc; when the Denver Nuggets are the visiting squad, opposing starting PGs have tallied the least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.5).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA since the start of last season, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
Out of all players in the league, Davion Mitchell comes in at the 19th percentile for getting to the foul line, registering a mere 0.0 foul shots per game at home since the start of last season.

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