Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Portland Trail Blazers · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 7:18 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has converted 51.8% of his three-pointers over the last 5 games at home, 24.4% more than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season while on his home court.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Davion Mitchell ought to see a spike in output in all facets of the game as a result of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 3rd-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 2nd-least up-tempo tempo home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings are expected to suffer a reduction in opportunities in this game from facing the 5th-most sluggish tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Trail Blazers).
Davion Mitchell has sunk 58.3% of his free throws over the last 15 games at home, 14.2% lower than he's put through the net overall this season while at home.

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