Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2024

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 28, 2024

Updated Feb 29, 2024 3:37 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has converted 52.6% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 15 games on the road, 10.5% more than he's converted overall this season away from his home court.
Davion Mitchell has successfully made 60.0% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games on the road, 29.0% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season while playing away from home.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.
The Kings have played at the 10th-quickest tempo in the league over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. Denver may be a strong one for drawing fouls; the opposition's starting PGs have attempted a massive 6.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games when the Nuggets are playing at home (28th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The matchup against Denver is a tough one for three-pointers; when the Denver Nuggets are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PGs have put up the 14th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (20.5%).
The Sacramento Kings will likely see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 4th-least up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year (the Denver Nuggets).
The Sacramento Kings have been the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).
The Nuggets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (12.2) in the league to the other team over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore lead to additional chances for scoring and assists).
Among all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell places in the 19th percentile for getting to the foul line, tallying only 0.5 foul shots per game this year.