Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/26/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Miami Heat · Feb 26, 2024

Updated Feb 27, 2024 3:10 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has converted 60.0% of his three-point attempts over the last 5 games, 33.6% more than he's made from 3-point range in all games this season.
The Sacramento Kings have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 10 games.
The 5th-speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Kings.
This year, their opposition has come down with 9.3 offensive boards per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) against the Miami Heat (diminishing possessions that could otherwise produce added opportunities for offense).
Davion Mitchell has made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games at home, 21.4% more than he's converted in all games this season while playing at home.

Favors Under

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have averaged 37.8 three attempts per game (5th-most in the NBA) against the Heat, resulting in a strong matchup.
The Kings are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from squaring off against the least up-tempo pace road offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Heat).
The Kings check in as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games as the home team (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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