Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/14/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 14, 2024

Updated Feb 15, 2024 1:55 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+100/-130).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 45.8% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 22.1% higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.
The Kings have been the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 5 games on the road.
The matchup vs. the Denver Nuggets is a tough one for threes; opposing squads have averaged the 3rd-least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (11.4).
The 2nd-fastest pace away team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.

Favors Under

In comparison to last year's 45.0% rate, Davion Mitchell's field goal ability has tailed off this year to 35.1%.
The Kings are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the least up-tempo pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Denver Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Kings grade out 5thworst in in the NBA with a mere 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.
With the home court advantage, the Nuggets have given up the 7th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.1) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).
Davion Mitchell has attempted 0.6 foul shots per game this year, putting him in the 21st percentile among all players in the NBA.

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