Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 2/11/2024

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Sacramento Kings · Feb 11, 2024

Updated Feb 12, 2024 3:12 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to scoring, the Kings's exceptional 124.2 points per game settles in as the 4th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have put up 107.7 points per game (4th-fewest in the league) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, creating a tough matchup for offensive productivity.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league over the last 5 games.
Davion Mitchell has converted 100.0% of his free throws over the last 5 games, 19.2% higher than he's sunk overall this season.

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has successfully made a measly 33.8% of his shots from the field this year, quite a bit less than his 45.0 rate last year.
The Thunder have played at the 4th-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which should decrease possessions for the Kings.
The Sacramento Kings check in as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, opposing squads have grabbed 12.5 offensive boards per game (2nd-most in the NBA) against the Oklahoma City Thunder (continuing possessions that can produce bonus opportunities for offense).
This year, opposing teams have attempted 24.2 free throws per game (6th-most in the NBA) vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder, easily managing to draw fouls.

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