Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/6/2023

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 6, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 1:12 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 9.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league on their home court since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PGs have tallied 7.1 3-point attempts per game (30th-highest in the league) vs. the Rockets, labeling this as a favorable matchup.
The matchup vs. the Houston Rockets is a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting PGs have attempted a massive 5.2 free throws per game since the start of last season (29th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The Kings rank as the 7th-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the league over the last 5 games with the home court advantage.
The Rockets have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the league this year, which ought to reduce possessions for the Kings.
Away from home, the Houston Rockets have allowed the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.5) in the NBA to opposing teams since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).
Davion Mitchell has attempted 0.4 free throws per game on the road since the start of last season, placing him in the 7th percentile among all players in the league.
Davion Mitchell ought to see a decline in effectiveness in all stat categories in light of being on the road in this matchup.

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