Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Houston Rockets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-120/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the league while on the road since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are away from home, the other team's starting PGs have totaled 7.2 three attempts per game (30th-most in the NBA) vs. the Houston Rockets, branding this as a strong matchup.
The Kings have played at the 8th-fastest tempo in the league as the home team this year.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team's starting PGs have attempted 5.4 free throws per game (29th-most in the league) vs. the Rockets, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

The Kings are expected to experience a decrease in possessions today from squaring off against the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play offense in the NBA this year (the Rockets).
Since the start of last season, the other team has collected 11.6 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets (preserving possessions that can create added opportunities for offense).
Among all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell places in the 7th percentile for drawing fouls, totaling just 0.4 free throw attempts per game at home since the start of last season.
Davion Mitchell stands to suffer a reduction in production in all stat categories as a result of playing away from hom in this matchup.

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