Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 10/25/2023

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Utah Jazz vs Sacramento Kings · Oct 25, 2023

Updated Oct 25, 2023 8:47 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This matchup is a hard one for three-pointers; opposing teams have shot for the 6th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 10 games at home (34.3%).
The 6th-most up-tempo pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Sacramento Kings.
The Jazz have played at the fastest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games, which should lead to increased possessions for the Kings.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to more chances for scoring and assists, and the Kings rank 2ndbest in in the NBA with 13.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 15 games.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 11.5 mark, Davion Mitchell's points per game have declined this year to 5.8.
Davion Mitchell has attempted a lowly 2.6 three-pointers per game this year, quite a bit less than his 4.3 rate last year.
Davion Mitchell has tallied a mere 17.8 minutes per game this year, significantly less than his 27.2 minutes per game last year.
This year, opposing squads have collected 11.4 offensive rebounds per game (5th-most in the league) vs. the Jazz (continuing possessions that can spark extra opportunities for offense).
This matchup is a favorable one for drawing fouls; when the Utah Jazz are the visiting team, opposing clubs have attempted a colossal 24.3 free throws per game this year (8th-most in the league).

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