Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/26/2023

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 26, 2023

Updated Apr 27, 2023 2:06 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-114/-106).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has sunk 53.1% of his shots from the field over the last 5 games at home, 7.0% more than he's sunk over the course of the season while at home.
Davion Mitchell has played 24.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 6.3 higher than he's played overall this year.
The Sacramento Kings rank as the highest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 9th-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should raise possessions for the Kings.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.3) in the league to opposing teams over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added chances for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a strong one for getting to the free throw line; when the Warriors are on the road, opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 26.0 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

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