Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/17/2023

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 17, 2023

Updated Apr 17, 2023 7:07 PM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-127/-102).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +100 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ -102.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has made 52.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games at home, 6.2% higher than he's made overall this year playing at home.
The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The Warriors have played at the most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year, which should increase plays for the Kings.
Davion Mitchell has sunk 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 19.9% more than he's sunk overall this year.
Davion Mitchell will have the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally boosts player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have given up the 2nd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.5) in the league to the other team over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).
This matchup is a good one for getting to the free throw line; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, opposing clubs have attempted a whopping 26.0 free throws per game this year (3rd-most in the league).

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