Davion Mitchell Points - Player Prop Bet 4/7/2023

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Sacramento Kings

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Golden State Warriors · Apr 7, 2023

Updated Apr 8, 2023 2:11 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-130/+102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has successfully made 58.1% of his shot attempts from the field over the last 10 games at home, 11.0% higher than he's converted overall this year playing at home.
The Sacramento Kings have been the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a positive one for 3-pointers; when the Warriors are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PGs have compiled the 30th-highest 3-point rate in the NBA this year (44.1%).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 10th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.
The Warriors have played at the speediest pace in the league this year, which ought to raise possessions for the Kings.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Warriors have allowed the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.8) in the league to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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