Davion Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Assists

New Orleans Pelicans vs Miami Heat · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-101/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -101.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has totaled 7.2 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's totaled overall this year.
Davion Mitchell has played 36.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.8 more than he's played over the course of the year.
The New Orleans Pelicans have played at the 10th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased plays for the Miami Heat.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Davion Mitchell comes in at the 89th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 2.5 fouls per game when playing away from home this year.
The 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Miami Heat.
The Heat rank as the 4th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Davion Mitchell will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court usually decreases stat production for all stats.

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