Davion Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 4/5/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Milwaukee Bucks · Apr 5, 2025

Updated Apr 6, 2025 3:09 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-112).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -107 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has compiled 7.0 assists per game over the last 5 games, 2.2 higher than he's compiled in all games this season.
Davion Mitchell is expected to see a rise in production across the board as a result of having the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Davion Mitchell ranks in the 89th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.6 fouls per game at home this year.
The least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Heat.
The Bucks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should reduce plays for the Miami Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Heat grade out 1stworst in in the league while at home with a mere 8.2 offensive boards per game this year.

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