Davion Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/23/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs Charlotte Hornets · Mar 23, 2025

Updated Mar 24, 2025 3:54 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has put up 5.0 assists per game this year at home, putting him among the league leaders by this metric in recent days: 92nd percentile.
Davion Mitchell will likely see an increase in efficiency across the board due to controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Davion Mitchell has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game this season, a significant increase from his 1.2 fouls per game last season.
The most lethargic pace home team in the league this year has been the Heat.
The Hornets have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Miami Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

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