Davion Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/2/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Miami Heat vs New York Knicks · Mar 2, 2025

Updated Mar 3, 2025 1:05 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-128/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -158 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has posted 5.4 assists per game while at home this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- near the top of the league by this standard.
Davion Mitchell has averaged 33.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.4 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Davion Mitchell will possess the home court advantage in this contest. Playing in your home city usually improves stat production for all stats.

Favors Under

In contrast to last year's 1.2 mark, Davion Mitchell's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 2.5.
The least up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Miami Heat.
The Knicks have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA away from their home court this year, which should decrease plays for the Heat.
The Miami Heat have been the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on their home court this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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