Davion Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/13/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Dallas Mavericks vs Miami Heat · Feb 13, 2025

Updated Feb 14, 2025 4:58 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-134/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 4.5 @ +116 before it was bet down to 4.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has put up 4.6 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the NBA in this category over this stretch: 89th percentile.

Favors Under

Compared to last season's 1.2 mark, Davion Mitchell's personal fouls per game have surged this season to 2.6.
The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Mavericks have played at the 8th-most sluggish pace in the league over the last 15 games with the home court advantage, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Heat.
The Miami Heat rank as the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Davion Mitchell will likely suffer a drop-off in performance across the board considering being on the road in this matchup.

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