Davion Mitchell Assists - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2025

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Davion Mitchell

NBA · Player Props

Davion Mitchell

G · Miami Heat

Assists

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Miami Heat · Feb 12, 2025

Updated Feb 13, 2025 3:59 AM EST

Analysis

Davion Mitchell Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Davion Mitchell has put up 4.6 assists per game this year on the road, placing him among the league leaders by this metric in recent days: 89th percentile.
The Miami Heat are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 5th-fastest tempo home team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Oklahoma City Thunder).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Davion Mitchell rates in the 90th percentile for personal fouls, posting a whopping 2.6 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
The 3rd-most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Heat.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark bonus opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Miami Heat rank 4thworst in in the NBA with only 9.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Davion Mitchell will likely experience a decrease in effectiveness in all facets of the game due to playing on the visting team in this matchup.

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